Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000129 0.000144 0.000160 0.000179 0.000199 0.000222 0.000248
2025-08-24 0.000105 0.000124 0.000147 0.000174 0.000207 0.000244 0.000290
2025-08-31 0.000088 0.000111 0.000138 0.000172 0.000216 0.000268 0.000336
2025-09-07 0.000077 0.000101 0.000131 0.000172 0.000225 0.000292 0.000385
2025-09-14 0.000067 0.000092 0.000124 0.000170 0.000232 0.000314 0.000430
2025-09-21 0.000061 0.000086 0.000121 0.000172 0.000243 0.000341 0.000486
2025-09-28 0.000055 0.000081 0.000118 0.000172 0.000253 0.000367 0.000541
2025-10-05 0.000050 0.000076 0.000113 0.000171 0.000259 0.000387 0.000590
2025-10-12 0.000047 0.000073 0.000112 0.000175 0.000273 0.000420 0.000658
2025-10-19 0.000043 0.000069 0.000109 0.000175 0.000281 0.000444 0.000716
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000066 0.000106 0.000175 0.000288 0.000466 0.000773
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000062 0.000102 0.000172 0.000291 0.000483 0.000821
2025-11-09 0.000034 0.000059 0.000100 0.000173 0.000300 0.000511 0.000892
2025-11-16 0.000031 0.000055 0.000096 0.000171 0.000303 0.000529 0.000948
2025-11-23 0.000029 0.000052 0.000094 0.000170 0.000309 0.000553 0.001014
2025-11-30 0.000027 0.000050 0.000091 0.000170 0.000316 0.000578 0.001087
2025-12-07 0.000025 0.000048 0.000089 0.000169 0.000321 0.000599 0.001153
2025-12-14 0.000024 0.000046 0.000088 0.000170 0.000332 0.000633 0.001245
2025-12-21 0.000022 0.000044 0.000086 0.000171 0.000340 0.000664 0.001333
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000042 0.000084 0.000170 0.000345 0.000686 0.001407
2026-01-04 0.000020 0.000042 0.000084 0.000174 0.000360 0.000729 0.001528
2026-01-11 0.000019 0.000040 0.000083 0.000174 0.000367 0.000759 0.001621
2026-01-18 0.000018 0.000039 0.000081 0.000174 0.000374 0.000787 0.001713